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European Elections 2017
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Old 06-02-2017, 15:53   #1
Damien
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European Elections 2017

France are soon having their national elections. The biggest of which is President. Hollande is stepping down after deciding approval ratings of 4% are not a great start to a campaign.

Leaving the main candidates:

- Fillon - former favorite. Republican whose recently run into trouble after allegations he paid his wife state money to do nothing.
- Le Pen - National front candidate. Expected to make the final around easily but then to lose to whoever else makes the run-off.
- Macron - former Prime Minster, current favorite. Independent candidate whose a centrist but waving a wide of public support.

The socialists also elected someone who won't win.

In France if no candidate gets over 50% it goes to a run off between the two most popular. It almost always goes to that runoff.
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Old 06-02-2017, 16:08   #2
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Re: French Elections 2017

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France is divided into 13 regions. Marine Le Pen herself is running in the north, her deputy Florian Philippot in the east and her niece, Marion Maréchal-Le Pen, in the south. Polls indicate that all three have realistic chances of winning their regions, which would mark the first time ever that the Front National took over the helm of a region in France. More than that, Le Pen, Philippot and Maréchal are key figures in the success of the Front National

Quote:
But for her rivals Le Pen is a nemesis, a vengeful deity who thrives on, and derives strength from, their failings.

Unlike her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, Marine Le Pen has actually succeeded. She is now part of the political elite, on a level with François Hollande and his presidential predecessor Nicolas Sarkozy. The question is now whether she is next in line. Forecasts for 2017 envision her in the second-round run-off election with Hollande, a virtually unimaginable success for a party that a large share of Frenchmen despised until a few years ago. Indeed, the Front National is still described in French as being "right-wing extremist."
Der Spiegel

The article is about a year old but quite interesting in that Marine has been carefully distancing herself from the most extremeist views of her father and even her surname campaigning as Marine.
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Old 06-02-2017, 16:15   #3
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Re: French Elections 2017

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Originally Posted by heero_yuy View Post
Der Spiegel

The article is about a year old but quite interesting in that Marine has been carefully distancing herself from the most extremeist views of her father and even her surname campaigning as Marine.
None of them won their regions IIRC.
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Old 06-02-2017, 16:33   #4
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Re: French Elections 2017

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Originally Posted by Damien View Post
France are soon having their national elections. The biggest of which is President. Hollande is stepping down after deciding approval ratings of 4% are not a great start to a campaign.

Leaving the main candidates:

- Fillon - former favorite. Republican whose recently run into trouble after allegations he paid his wife state money to do nothing.
- Le Pen - National front candidate. Expected to make the final around easily but then to lose to whoever else makes the run-off.
- Macron - former Prime Minster, current favorite. Independent candidate whose a centrist but waving a wide of public support.

The socialists also elected someone who won't win.

In France if no candidate gets over 50% it goes to a run off between the two most popular. It almost always goes to that runoff.
Personally l would be reasonably happy if Macron became president.
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Old 06-02-2017, 18:08   #5
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Re: French Elections 2017

Zut alors, the French have their own thread. Frexit anyone?
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Old 06-02-2017, 19:46   #6
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Re: French Elections 2017

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Originally Posted by Osem View Post
Frexit anyone?
Marine doesn't want to go that far, but her policies would put her in trouble with the EU mantra. So she might call for Frexit (despite costing France a fortune in aid, especially to farmers).

She has scared the political elite a lot more than Farage did here, so they are tweaking their policies to seem more "Pro-French" and anti- immigration.

But a lot of the electorate don't believe their promises.
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Old 15-03-2017, 20:22   #7
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Re: European Elections 2017

I've updated the thread so it can be a catch all for European Elections in 2017

Tonight is the election in Holland. Geert Wilders is predicted to do well in another victory for the far-right or populist right, whatever you want to call it, but no one expects him to win enough seats to form a government due to their electoral system and that no one will partner with him.

https://www.ft.com/content/6bc14dee-...1-5e720a26771b

Results tonight. As I said all eyes internationally are directed at Wilders.....
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Old 15-03-2017, 20:43   #8
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Re: European Elections 2017

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......a centrist but waving a wide of public support.
Is that 'riding a wave' or are you quoting Jonathan Woss?
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Old 15-03-2017, 21:26   #9
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Re: European Elections 2017

First exit poll suggests the polls overestimated Wilders support.....

https://twitter.com/AP/status/842105421053755410

Quote:
BREAKING: Netherlands’ main exit poll suggests that anti-Islam firebrand Geert Wilders had unexpectedly poor showing in election.
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Old 21-03-2017, 20:44   #10
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Re: European Elections 2017

Fillon has had another bad day:

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/a...ng-canard-says

He accepted money to arrange a meeting between Putin and the CEO of Total. People were already wary of his links to Russia.

Also Le Monde is reporting he may have forged documents to try and prove his wife worked for him.

Meanwhile the French Interior Minister has resigned after it emerged he employed his daughters as assistants. Doesn't look good that he considers that a resigning offence whilst Fillon, whose wife didn't actually work for him, doesn't.
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Old 23-04-2017, 20:33   #11
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Re: European Elections 2017

Marcon wins the first round, Le Pen in 2nd. They go to the run-off. Le Pen didn't get as close as expected, at the start of this she was even looking at finishing 1st, but once again the National Front are in the last round.
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Old 24-04-2017, 07:02   #12
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Re: European Elections 2017

I think she'll win the next round with ease.
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Old 24-04-2017, 08:36   #13
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Re: European Elections 2017

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I think she'll win the next round with ease.
Let's hope so
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Old 24-04-2017, 08:52   #14
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Re: European Elections 2017

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Let's hope so
Yes, then we can have Frexit!
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Old 24-04-2017, 08:53   #15
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Re: European Elections 2017

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Yes, then we can have Frexit!

Exactly
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