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Old 01-06-2019, 16:59   #907
jfman
Architect of Ideas
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
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Re: Linear is old tech - on demand is the future

Quote:
Originally Posted by OLD BOY View Post
I have no recollection of ever stating that this will be a market that multi-billion dollar companies will be unable to use! That’s a conclusion you have drawn yourself.

What I see happening is more streaming services set up with a vast amount of content. Some will be subscription services, others funded by advertising and it would not surprise me if some offered both alternatives.

Some of them will be big, like Warner and Disney; others will be smaller, like StarzPlay. Whether the smaller ones will join together or not in time to compete with the giants, we shall see, but if they are cheaper, they could probably stand alone and not be absorbed by the larger providers in the short term.

You keep going on about economic viability, and I believe that in your head, Netflix and Amazon should not even be here! You disregard in your calculations the fact that Amazon is prepared to see their Prime streaming service as a loss leader to promote their retail business and that Netflix will continue expanding for some time yet. Obviously, there will come a point where they won’t have to spend such huge sums on their content and at that point they might be prepared to allow other outlets the ability to watch their content. This is already happening, by the way - Designated Survivor is now showing on pay tv channels. So that is further income for the streaming companies.

As far as the amount of new material being shown on the scheduled channels is concerned, we can already see how this is drying up. Unless they rely more on their own original material, they will be resorting to content already shown for a few years on the streamers and the films will be older too if the studios redirect their output. So Sky Cinema channels would suffer.

So the scheduled channels will suffer from reducing advertising revenues caused by poorer and/or older quality programming and existing viewer trends towards VOD.
More conjecture with no evidence whatsoever.

It really is becoming tiresome. I can even see you resorted to throwing up a straw man in there by speculating on whether I think Netflix or Amazon should exist at all! You also make curious use of the word “obviously” and place an easily disputable point after it.
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