Originally Posted by Damien

National polls weight against the census. I doubt they pull the registered voter records per district. I think state polls do go against the state's registered voters though.

I think what makes the US different, aside from their better polling, is also a much larger amount of minorities. This is what cost Romney 4 years ago and these groups hate Trump more. A poll came out with Trump at 1.5% among black people. He is falling even further with women too. His whole strategy seems to be to turn out white men to unprecedented levels and pray but even there support is dropping.

All the stuff he said is catching up with him.