[Sephiroth]

Originally Posted by Chris

The existence of the Brexit party is really muddying the waters now. It’s by no means clear that they would contest a general election, nor is it an easy matter to work out what that potential national vote share would look like constituency by constituency, as they’ve never stood for election before.

The electoral landscape is such that I think the chances of there being one before the 5-year term is up is minimal.

Macron's party won shortly after formation because of voter objection to the main parties; in Israel the Kadima party was formed in 2005 and won elections in 2006.

Voter displeasure with the political class will always be expressed at the ballot box when the opportunity arises.