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Originally Posted by RizzyKing
While much of the weapons NK has are old and obselete by our standards they still function and do the job and they have thousands of them making the idea of hitting them before they can fire almost impossible. It should be remembered that only a small amount of the artillery can fire and hit seoul from their current dispositions and that is reliant on them having assisted shells which extend their range and hitting those is within current U.S and SK capabilities but Seoul will get hit. I think if NK go the route of launching a military campaign against the south artillery isn't the main problem NK's nuclear weapons will be the choice for them to use.
I doubt NK has any intention of initiating any form of military action as propaganda aside they are fully aware it's not something they will win and their only hope is getting China involved which isn't a possibility if NK starts military action. The biggest problem is the missile program and their reckless targetting of their tests which is putting Japan in an impossible position of not being able to just accept these missiles violating their territory and Japan not wanting a military solution to it. China is key to any peaceful end to this as NK only continues to function as a nation because of chinese trade and supplies which range from oil to munitions and if they just cut those two NK would have serious problems in holding things together.
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Any pre-emptive strike could only hope to take out their WMD capability and a proportion of the rest. There'd clearly be no way to stop mass casualties in SK as a result of retaliation (even if it were only short term) by NK.
China is key to this but they too are dealing with a maniac and they know it. If they were to force his hand they have no certainty of how he'd react and what damage he could/would do to Chinese interests.