Where are we all going to work?
Banks and other retail outlets going self service. More stuff done online - banking, couses, shopping etc. Smart devices which look after themselves and report back to HQ. Artificial intelligence and so it goes on. At what point is somebody somewhere going to say enough's enough? Is it progress to make humans largely redundant save for a proportion whose jobs can't be automated (yet anyway)? If UK PLC we can't pay for the existing pensions/welfare obligations and we're all being told we can't retire when we thought we could, how's it going to be done when increasing numbers of us don't have jobs, let alone the ability to retire?
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Also we might find new industries emerge from this process just as has happened in the past. Especially when it comes to creative industries which at the moment at least seem immune from both AI advances. I would argue the usefulness of humans doesn't lie in our ability to perform repetitive tasks anyway. |
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A large number will end up as Carers, not in OAP homes but in our own homes. Social Engineering has been going on, and is being tweaked by things like The Bedroom Tax, changes to Housing Benefits to the under-35's, Child Benefits only for the first 2 kids, closing council-run OAP homes, etc. Homes will become multi-generational, with the youngest looking after the eldest at minimum cost to the taxpayers. Any shortfalls in manning will be filled by the unemployed getting Benefits in exchange for social work.
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I'm really just wondering if, in the rush for 'progress', anyone at HQ is thinking much about the ramifications of where we're heading. If they are they're keeping it quiet but I'm always happy to be educated. ---------- Post added at 14:25 ---------- Previous post was at 14:22 ---------- Quote:
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There might be a lot of job losses but the government should start considering solutions to that now and see how automation can benefit society and how we'll spread out wealth generated from machines. Universal Basic Income might be a solution here. You might be interested in this video which talks about this issue: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU |
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Anyway you worry too much, try some St Johns Wort. |
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My business cannot be automated, as it involves taking apart airplane parts, from wheels, langing gear & generators, down to dials in the cockpit.
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This will affect every country in one way or another and if our planet isn't going to be reduced to a giant ants nest someone's going to need to get a grip. Of course if you and yours happen to be among those who'll still be at the top of the food chain maybe you don't care much. |
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I'm more concerned about the idea of automated soldiers..
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What about Automated Team Members, like me?
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l would rather have the real life ones.:p:
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Banks are also considering reducing the amount of ATMs as cash in our lovely society becomes less prevalent. I work for a major bank and last year there was a 15% reduction in hard cash in this country.
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We won't have soldiers - we'll all be soldier ants doing what we're told and going where we're allowed.
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So when the vast majority of the country goes fully automated, people will no longer have money to pay for the thing that the machines are making. That means the people who own these automated companies won't be making any money too. Sounds like a bad idea to me... We'll probably end up bartering again.
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The rich are getting richer/more powerful and there's more people to compete for what's left. Does anyone think the former will look after the latter? I don't. Maybe that's why our glorious leaders aren't highlighting the problem... |
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Fortunately, I think this is not likely to be an issue for me.
I have retirement in my sights, hopefully sooner than the state retirement age (which they kindly moved). |
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When I grow up I'm going to be a number. I will
My day will consist of being woken at a set time, fed and bathed. By carefully controlled eye movements I will set the 10" screen in front of me to display one of the 4,538 3D images of random patterns and sounds that will be my entertainment. I will have no use for knowledge or learning as it is not needed, my thoughts will be pure and I will harbor no ill feeling towards my neighbours in their boxes. My emotions will be monitored by the Glorious Machines, and at the first signs of anything but joyfull bliss they will administer subtle electrical pulses into my anodised aluminium cranium shell to sooth me. After 6 hours I will be fed, toileted, bathed and allowed a deep dreamless 4 hour sleep ready for my next adventure. Once I reach 20 years old, I will be cast into the power vats, where my body will decay into the organic materials needed to supply the energy required for the continuance of the Glorious Machines. My number will be assigned to another box. |
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As more and more becomes automated, the owners of the machines, in order to be able to have low enough overheads to compete with one another effectively, will not be able to afford to pay enough people for the majority to be able to survive. I think the reality is that unfortunately, billions of people are going to literally starve to death. Humans aren't responsible enough to be able to fairly share things without money, and not enough people are cunning enough to be making sure they're operating those machines rather than getting replaced by them. It's going to be messy.
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Yep, it certainly will be messy; i'm glad that I had my life when I did
Anyone who doubts how much this will affect society should have a play with this tool: https://willrobotstakemyjob.com |
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I'm more concerned about who is going to own the automated soldiers..
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On a day to day level, I'm trying to do my bit by refusing to bank online or use those pesky self service tills even when directed to them by the very staff whose jobs they'll eventually replace unless we do something about this. Once enough of us stop going to our local banks (but possibly sooner) they'll close, the jobs will be lost and we'll have even more empty units in our high streets... |
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Yes and how many of our leading politicians wind up serving and beholden to these giant companies in one way or another?
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Maybe there should be a limit on number of employees per company.
Either way, it's pretty clear that neither socialism nor captialism are going to work - and once it becomes a truly global system, people will be calling for a truly global authority and then everyone had better obey or else. |
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The trouble is that the rich now want to even keep some of the crumbs for themselves too which is causing allsorts of problems and anomalies as awareness & resentment increases. |
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I fear that's where we're heading. Vast amounts of our personal data is already being held all over the world and as larger companies swallow up smaller ones, that information falls into the hands of fewer, far more powerful organisations. |
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Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs
Automation Risk Level --- Robots are watching or 70% probability of automation I bet that means DWP and PIP et al :-( |
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I'm far more worried about my kids and any grandchildren than myself. They're the ones who're going to see the world transformed and for the worse IMHO.
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In an attempt to deal with this plans are afoot to make all appeals paper based. Paper based appeals are usually less successful for appellants. Quote:
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It works in Startrek? maybe we are all heading for a high plane of existance where we all band together to better society and money is no longer looked at as needed to run an econemy as we'll all do it to better ourselves lol
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Some countries are to try out a universal citizens income paid unconditionally to every adult to deal with this.
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UBI |
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Problem with UBI is that it financially disincentivises human existence in the eyes of those that would be paying.
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If we can't really afford our state pensions bill going forward with very high employment levels in the UK how on Earth are we going to be able to afford a meaningful universal wage when there's likely to be far fewer people actually earning a decent salary on which to pay tax? :shrug:
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Companies can only make profits if people have the disposable to purchase the companies goods. The more that is automated the less disposable income there will be. So how's that going to generate wealth? |
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UBI would be taxable, so that would claw back some of it.
There would be huge cost savings in benefits with most people no longer needing them, student maintenance loans could be abolished and the administration of all these schemes would reduce by a massive amount eg most unemployed people would not need to be signed on, there would be no need for them to be checked up on to see if they're looking for work. Most sick and disabled people wouldn't need to be constantly tested again and again, very few appeals would be made, most of those in work wouldn't need any other top up payments like Access To Work, Universal Credit, Tax Credits, Housing Benefit, Council Tax Support. Pensioners wouldn't be forced into a humiliating means test to top up their pension with pension credit etc etc. Fraud would be virtually eliminated. The remainder would be raised by a robot tax on employers to share the benefits of automation and help to negate the negative effects. ---------- Post added at 11:44 ---------- Previous post was at 11:30 ---------- Quote:
This is one of the reasons why I think we need to deal with immigration as a matter of urgency. Even if it can be proved that the economy needs immigrants at the moment, they will become a burden in future years. Perhaps we ought to be giving out fixed time visas right now. The only fraud I can think of would be claims for non existent people or those who have died, with all other current fraudulent activity no longer being relevant (eg not declaring savings, income etc) fraud inspectors could concentrate on this activity. Quote:
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The Governments will work it out first will have an advantage but I am pretty optimistic. I think it will free us all up to do more innovative and creative things rather than turn us into a dystopian nightmare. |
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I agree with you on immigration and think we should also move onto a points based system where those who are really needed should be allowed in but for set periods depending on age of entry and taxes paid or something along those lines. I forgot to ask, will UBI be a lesser amount than current benefits considering there will be a huge rise in unemployment due to automation? |
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The actual amount varies between the countries trying it out and has yet to be determined. I personally believe that, in today's terms, we should aim for at least £86, this figure is derived by using the current amount of Jobseekers Allowance for a single person over 25 of £73.10. The Government has frozen this since 2010; updated for inflation it would be about £86 and prevent anyone going below the poverty line (not including housing costs). Suggestions have been made to make it cheaper by making it age related eg not payable to those under 21 or 25 and/or making it start out at a lower rate for young people and steadily increasing it as a person gets older. |
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Logically it can't can it The wealth is generated by other means, here's a very simple and very basic example: If you can only afford to pay £50 for an 'item' instead of £80 then you can't buy it, which means a loss to the manufacturer unless he reduces the manufacturing costs to allow operating profit. You can reduce costs by lowering the quality of component parts, or by reducing the staff. Reducing staff leads to a scenario like yours, but reducing quality leads to a shorter 'lifetime' of the item, which means you buy it once every year instead of every 2 years, and therefore the manufacturer has to double his output. Which also means the suppliers of component parts have to increase theirs too. Doubling production by using machines leads to a reduction of staff levels (costs), but they have to cover the cost of those machines by ensuring they can sell the product they manufacture . . and here's the good bit. Advertising. All those people put out of work by machines are now employed in the large (and ever growing) industry of advertising. Take a look around yourselves today, adverts in many varied formats are forever being pushed into your daily life . . . and we're paying them for it . . . oh, gotta go, the phone is ringing again :D:D:D |
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Would you have been able to believe some of the oppertunities and technologies that exist today when you where whatever age I am? :D |
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A few predictions have come true, some, like flying cars, are coming a bit later than expected and some a lot later like trips to the moon and some haven't come true thus far like pills as an alternative to food (but many people use pills for recreational purposes instead of alcohol, cigarettes etc). The robot thing now looks to be gradually coming true. The whole ethos of the work ethic will have to change, how many of us were brought up to believe that we must work for a living and contribute towards society? At the moment this Government is intent on making even the most severely disabled look for work: http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/743...k-and-Benefits Many people would still like to work, so if UIB was introduced there would be more scope for voluntary work eg doing the gardens of incapacitated people, reading to the blind etc or volunteering for charities who have had their funding cut. Hard pressed local authorities could reintroduce services that have had to be cut or stopped due to austerity eg tending to park vegetation. As Damien said, there would also be more time to pursue hobbies and interests. Attitudes like this will have to change towards the unemployed: Quote:
UIB should also help to deal with the misplaced resentment of the unemployed as working people would be receiving the same payment as someone not in remunerative work and those not in paid employment would be working for their income. |
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I wonder whether under UBI, market forces would cause the poverty line to become just under the amount that UBI is. So, if everyone received £86 per week, it would become impossible to survive on £86. Likewise, if everyone were given £250 per week, market forces would pick that up so that £250 per week then became just under the poverty line...
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It could be set at any rate that any country desires, the poverty line idea is just my suggestion as a minimum to make it work. As it stands, since David Cameron froze most benefits in 2010, many people are now living below the minimum that they need to live on eg a single healthy claimant is getting JSA of £73.10 per week, when uprating for the effects of inflation would have meant that they would be getting £86.01; a shortfall of £12.91. In addition, they now have to pay between 20 and 30% towards their Council Tax and various amounts towards their housing costs. The Government lied and said that the disabled would be protected from this, but the first £73.10 of their money has been frozen and some have also lost a further £30 a week if not in the Support Group. |
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Unless our employers are going to hire people so they can pay them wages in order to buy their products and services, I don't see where the jobs you allude to are going to come from, I really don't. :shrug: |
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If people become much poorer they will have less to spend.
If employers use robots to cut costs, they will have have to pass these cost savings on to reduce the prices. There would be a real danger of 'negative inflation' which would be disastrous for the economy. |
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This isn't exactly a surprise is it:
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Somewhere in amongst all the profit/loss calculations surely the value to people of dealing with other people needs to be taken into account and maybe government needs to create incentives on order to ensure this. I never use self service tills but that choice is slowly being taken away. Do we really want to be slowly reduced to dealing with machines and robots in almost every area of our lives? :shrug: I was listening to an expert on AI the other day being interviewed on Radio 4. She made the point that the days when machines only took away jobs from the lower paid and manual workers are long gone. Even over paid BBC radio presenters aren't safe... |
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If you run out of work you can always spend all day posting paranoia on forums.... :D |
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Personally we detest Automated checkout machines and will avoid them at all costs.
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I actually don't mind machines, in fact I own quite a few . . car, washing machine, vacuum, lawnmower etc . .
However the idea of machinery replacing people to generate profit for better machinery to replace more people does seem to be a tad concerning when you look at the long term. I have this vision of humans eventually doing 4 hour shifts, running in large hamster wheels simply to generate the power needed to keep the machines operating :shocked: |
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Whenever they suggest we use the automatic tills I tell them I prefer chatting to a human being. It's very sad that they have to push people to use the machines that will eventually replace many of them and I do think a compromise can be reached by which jobs can be preserved without turning our backs on technology. There'll need to be the political will to do it though and if there isn't the future doesn't look great for a whole lot of us. ---------- Post added at 19:09 ---------- Previous post was at 18:33 ---------- Quote:
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Every time I go into a bank they try to persuade me to do my banking online so this is not really a surprise is it. They'd very much like there to be no branches and if they carry on like this that's what'll happen. Still I suppose there'll be more room in our high streets for nail bars and coffee shops... |
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What I don't want is machines/robots that talk/argue to me. Shades of Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy..Or according to the late great Dave Allen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PinfbvkbwZk BTW it is Dave Allen so some mild swearing involved. |
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I'm with a bank that's mobile only, cool stuff though.
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Anyway back to RBS, I believe we the taxpayer still own the vast majority of it so oughtn't this be a case where the wider public interest is taken into account? |
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Where the state had the "Public Control Department" and the "Authorised Systematic Harassment" project to deal with dissent: The slow removal of everything that made life bearable. The daily brown envelope through the door that removed benefits and privileges, drip by drip. Your job, health services, school allocation, where you had to live etc. If you stepped out of line.... We walk that road at our peril. |
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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1990_(TV_series) All very Momentum... |
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https://www.mirror.co.uk/tech/eerily...erica-11938392
All this faux furore about equal pay for newscasters will fade into oblivion once these beauties are "employed"by the bbc,sky,etc. |
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Hard to tell between the robot and some of the "live"robots on tv today.
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